Analysis of Dogecoin’s Price Movements and Potential Rally
In a recent analysis, crypto strategist Trader Tardigrade identified a recurring pattern in Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price movements, suggesting the potential for a substantial rally. According to Tardigrade, Dogecoin’s macro chart follows a circular structure referred to as the “Doge Circle,” that has consistently influenced its price movements across multiple market cycles.
This pattern has played a role in determining key support levels and major rallies. Dogecoin has historically rebounded whenever it touched the lower boundary of this circle, making it a critical support zone since 2015.
In the first cycle in 2015, DOGE rebounded around $0.0001 earlier in the year before surging from $0.0004 to $0.0041 in April 2017. The second cycle saw DOGE bouncing at $0.0012 in March 2020 and $0.0024 in November 2020, leading to its all-time high of $0.7488 in May 2021. In the third and ongoing cycle, DOGE surged to $0.4846 in November 2024 after rebounding from the same support zone.
Most recently, the meme coin touched the Doge Circle’s lower boundary during its drop to $0.1432 before recovering 26% to $0.1822. These consistent rebounds suggest that Dogecoin may be gearing up for another rally in line with past market cycles.
Currently, DOGE has just exited the oversold zone and is projected to reach the overbought zone, estimated between $8 and $10. This projection implies a potential 4,259% increase from its current price levels.
Market Performance
As Crypto News Flash recently reported, Dogecoin (DOGE) has officially broken out of its three-month downtrend, injecting fresh confidence into the market. Analysts predict a potential 55% surge if the price successfully clears the key $0.20 resistance level.
Adding to the bullish momentum, whales have accumulated over 200 million DOGE in the past two weeks, according to crypto analyst Ali Martinez. Over the past week, Dogecoin has rallied approximately 8%, while its trading volume has seen a 29.60% drop in the last 24 hours to $256 million. Currently trading at $0.185, DOGE holds its position as the largest meme coin with a market capitalization of $26 billion, while its closest competitor, Shiba Inu (SHIB), follows with a $7 billion market cap.
Beyond technical indicators, The House of Doge, the official commercialization partner of the Dogecoin Foundation, recently introduced The Official Dogecoin Reserve, beginning with an initial purchase of 10 million DOGE tokens. This reserve aims to enhance liquidity and stability within the Dogecoin ecosystem while serving as a proof of concept for its potential in seamless, efficient transactions.
Meanwhile, Dogecoin-related exchange-traded fund (ETF) filings from Bitwise, Grayscale, and Rex Shares are still awaiting approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), adding another layer of anticipation to the market.