XRP’s price gained significant traction after news of Ripple’s ongoing legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission might soon wrap up.
In less than a day, the token surged by 14%. However, the short-lived excitement faded soon. XRP quickly gave up half of those gains, falling below the important level of $2.50.
The sharp rally echoed XRP’s January move, where the asset skyrocketed to its previous all-time high of $3.40. That surge came on the back of strong spot buying and lasted several weeks. Traders are hoping for a repeat, but this time, conditions appear slightly different.
For the first time since late January, the aggregated spot tape cumulative trade delta (CVD) turned positive.
It basically shows the difference between aggressive buys and sells across exchanges. When this number goes green, it means more people are aggressively buying than selling—a pattern that often drives prices higher.
Source: TradingView
Bulls vs Bears: $3 or Bust?
Even as spot buyers stepped up, the futures market told a different scenario. A negative aggregated premium in open interest signaled that many traders were betting against a price increase. The tug-of-war between spot buyers and futures bears is heating up, with no clear winner yet.
Source: Velo.Chart
Dom, a crypto analyst, believes XRP’s volume-weighted average price from its all-time high is still acting as a bullish threshold. According to him, “XRP must stabilize around the $2.50 level.” If it does, the door to higher levels could swing open.
Source: TradingView
But uncertainty is everywhere. While some indicators suggest strength, the price remains in what’s called sideways consolidation. In simpler terms, XRP is drifting with no strong direction, as both bulls and bears refuse to give in.
Pressure Builds Near $2.65 and $2.23 Levels
From a technical angle, there are key levels to watch. If XRP can close a daily candle above $2.65, it would create what’s known as a positive break of structure. That shift could pull futures traders onto the bullish side, adding fuel to the fire. On the flip side, a close below $2.23 could erase the recent gains and return the token to a downward path.
One trader, known as CrediBULL Crypto, sees this current period as an accumulation phase. According to the trader, XRP might first drop to sweep liquidity between $1.80 and $2.00 before heading back up. The analyst also anticipates that the token might hit an all-time high above $3.40 soon. It’s a bold call, but not out of the question if buying pressure holds steady.
Still, others are cautious. Even if XRP doesn’t dip to $2, it needs to hold above its rising trendline support to build any long-term strength. Losing that level could trigger fresh selling and shake out weak hands.